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Jul - Craziness Domain - You have a 50/50 chance New poll - New thread - New reply
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Orlandu


Holy SwordsMan
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From: Las Vegas, NV

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Posted on 09-01-11 02:13:03 PM Link | Quote
Of posting in this thread. You either do or you don't Or of getting a heads or a tails if you decide to flip a coin right now. Unless you have a two face coin.



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Zero One
5170
And as we fall the spirit carries on,
That a hero'll come and save us all,
As we call the ones we left below,
We all dream of the day we rise above
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From: Delta Quadrant

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Posted on 09-01-11 02:18:43 PM Link | Quote


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Crossover - The Comic!
GO TO IT! whoo bandwagon
sofi

🌠
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Pronouns: she/her
From: たまごっち星

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Posted on 09-01-11 02:32:24 PM Link | Quote
Oh my god, did I post in this thread?

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About the author: A prolific contributor to Jul with some 1999 posts published, Sofi better fancies herself as a cinema geek, a composer, an occasional gamer, a budding fashionita, an absolute cooking newbie and a general life enthusiast-satirist. She is responsible for a number of notable discussions about meteorology and current events and may be contacted at any time through private messaging.
devin

Yoshi
i'm mima irl
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Posted on 09-01-11 02:43:56 PM Link | Quote
You say that like posting in this thread is a completely probabilistic action. Totally bogus if you ask me.

I say you're skewing the odds of people posting in this thread just by bringing it up.

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Acey

Wendy Koopa
garbage-chan
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From: meme jail

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Posted on 09-01-11 02:45:57 PM Link | Quote

I flipped a coin to decide if I should post in this thread, but it fell on the floor and now I can't find it so fuck the coin.

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devin

Yoshi
i'm mima irl
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Posted on 09-01-11 02:47:14 PM Link | Quote
Originally posted by Auxiliatrix
fuck the coin.

And thus begins the

[is crushed to death by oversized prop anvil]

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Acey

Wendy Koopa
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Posted on 09-01-11 02:52:48 PM Link | Quote

Originally posted by Super Salami Man
Originally posted by Auxiliatrix
fuck the coin.

And thus begins the

[is crushed to death by oversized prop anvil]

EEEEEEEEEEEEEINF EEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEINF

*is crushed by the same anvil somehow?*

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paulguy

Green Birdo
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Posted on 09-01-11 02:52:54 PM Link | Quote
Paulguy's Post configuration
Statistically, half the members would have to post in this thread to prove that it's truly a 50/50 chance. Or at least half of the people who have read the thread.

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Orlandu


Holy SwordsMan
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From: Las Vegas, NV

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Posted on 09-01-11 03:09:40 PM Link | Quote
Originally posted by Auxiliatrix
I flipped a coin to decide if I should post in this thread, but it fell on the floor and now I can't find it so fuck the coin.

Now your out 1 to 25 cents. Unless it was a 50 cent or dollar piece. Or a foreign coin. But if it's lost, we'll never know.

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Taryn

Passed away.

Thanks for being a part of us, even if it wasn't always on the best of terms.

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Posted on 09-01-11 03:17:05 PM Link | Quote
Hmmm, half of Jul would be 929.5 different people posting in one thread. Maybe one of the huge threads like WOYM has that many, but even then it seems doubtful, given how many people just sign up for NSMB/SM64 hacking or make very few posts.

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Rick
M'Lord, there's a knife in your head!
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Posted on 09-01-11 03:20:22 PM Link | Quote
Here's my own personal quote when it comes to picking between two different things.

"If there's a 50/50 chance of me getting something right, there's an 80% chance I'll get it wrong."

This has proven true for me much of the time.

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Taryn

Passed away.

Thanks for being a part of us, even if it wasn't always on the best of terms.

1987-2014


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Posted on 09-01-11 03:22:08 PM Link | Quote
Sounds like Murphy's Law. If anything can go wrong, it will.

Also, congratulations on 5050 posts, Orlandu

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Acey

Wendy Koopa
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Posted on 09-01-11 03:26:24 PM Link | Quote

Originally posted by Orlandu
Originally posted by Auxiliatrix
I flipped a coin to decide if I should post in this thread, but it fell on the floor and now I can't find it so fuck the coin.

Now your out 1 to 25 cents. Unless it was a 50 cent or dollar piece. Or a foreign coin. But if it's lost, we'll never know.

It was a quarter.

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Nicole

Disk-kun
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Posted on 09-01-11 03:49:31 PM Link | Quote
I argue that there was always a 100% chance of me posting in this thread.

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Adelheid
Posted on 09-01-11 04:09:07 PM Link | Quote
Originally posted by Orlandu
Of posting in this thread. You either do or you don't Or of getting a heads or a tails if you decide to flip a coin right now. Unless you have a two face coin.



This is not remotely how probability works

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Pay attention. This will be on the test.
legacyme3
"In short, legacyme3 does horrible things to people, and I don't think anyone else on Jul should be exposed to him, no matter how decent of a person he pretends to be."

I don't normally ban for offsite behavior but you're a whole level of terrible.
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Posted on 09-01-11 04:18:39 PM Link | Quote

I'd say there's actually a 66.7% of any particular person posting in here if they see it.

For one, the psychology in my mind tells me that it's a coin flip, however, I have the freedom to choose.

I chose to post in this thread, because you said it was a 50/50 chance, It raised my chances of posting in here.

This post is bound to spawn at least one more, so let's say the odds are now 70%.

When it boils down, you saying it was a 50/50 chance ruined the chances for it to be a 50/50 chance... but that's just a 50/50 chance.

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Orlandu


Holy SwordsMan
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Posted on 09-01-11 04:24:19 PM Link | Quote
Originally posted by Stark
Originally posted by Orlandu
Of posting in this thread. You either do or you don't Or of getting a heads or a tails if you decide to flip a coin right now. Unless you have a two face coin.

<!-- 5050 posts! because 5000 is too mainstream -->


This is not remotely how probability works

Thank you captain serious. The point of this thread has been highlighted in bold from my original post. Terra noticed it.

Originally posted by legacyme3
When it boils down, you saying it was a 50/50 chance ruined the chances for it to be a 50/50 chance... but that's just a 50/50 chance.

Without other factors and simply limiting the probability to submit reply or not submitting reply, it is a 50/50 chance. Adding personal choice and number of members just complicates it too much for a milestone thread

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NSNick
1890
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From: The North Side

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Posted on 09-01-11 05:13:38 PM Link | Quote




Profile
PM
Rate
Posts
Threads
Obviously, I won the flip.

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Adelheid
Posted on 09-01-11 05:15:25 PM Link | Quote
Originally posted by Orlandu
Thank you captain serious.


You're welcome! I'm just happy to be of service to one such as the Count Cidolfus Orlandeau.

:3

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Lyskar
12210
-The Chaos within trumps the Chaos without-
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From: 52-2-88-7

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Posted on 09-01-11 05:58:55 PM Link | Quote
Stats
Time/Date
09-01-11 11:58:55 AM
Posts
10094
Days Here
1521
Level
148
Metal_Man88's Post
Originally posted by Terra
Hmmm, half of Jul would be 929.5 different people posting in one thread. Maybe one of the huge threads like WOYM has that many, but even then it seems doubtful, given how many people just sign up for NSMB/SM64 hacking or make very few posts.


And that doesn't even count the many deleted users.

It's more like a certain chance any active member will post in it and an even lower one that a nonactive one will go active to post in it.

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Jul - Craziness Domain - You have a 50/50 chance New poll - New thread - New reply


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