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05-04-22 07:59:56 PM
Jul - Innocent Town - 20K Projection New poll - New thread - New reply
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Nov - Dec
 
18.8%, 3 votes
Jan - March
 
6.2%, 1 vote
April - May
 
6.2%, 1 vote
May +
 
68.8%, 11 votes
Multi-voting is disabled. 16 users have voted.

Anya

Trudging Scribe



Post 10009/23359
Posted on 08-13-09 01:41:52 PM Link | Quote
I'm not really being serious, this is just me being a smart ass.


Projected date for 20000 posts: 09-04-11 08:58 AM


____________________

twitstamp.com
ReiNi
さよなら*へヴン
Level: 124


Posts: 1898/4444
EXP: 21772293
For next: 64308

Since: 07-21-07


Since last post: 6.7 years
Last activity: 3.3 years

Posted on 08-13-09 02:55:23 PM (last edited by Reimu at 08-13-09 11:58 AM) Link | Quote
Now with 60% more chance of spontaneous combustion.
----------------------------
Tomorrow or otherwise ridiculously soon. Somehow.

(Not really. But I wouldn't count on it being too late next year... May/earlier is actually a good guess.)

____________________

Liliana
"A horrible person". That's what it says. "A horrible person."

We weren't even testing for that.


Level: NaN


Posts: 446/-3841
EXP: NaN
For next: 0

Since: 07-23-07


Since last post: 10.3 years
Last activity: 10.1 years

Posted on 08-13-09 04:56:05 PM Link | Quote
Ok, let's do some math.

We'll assume Anya makes an average 40 posts per day, and she needs 10,000 posts to get to 20,000

Now, 10,000/40 = 250. Today (2009/08/13) 250 days into the future is 2010/04/20.

Thus, she will get post 20,000 April next year, assuming she keeps posting all the way through.

____________________
Joe
Common spammer
🍬
Level: 111


Posts: 994/3392
EXP: 14503231
For next: 365129

Since: 08-02-07

From: Pororoca

Since last post: 13 days
Last activity: 44 min.

Posted on 08-13-09 05:35:19 PM Link | Quote
This year.

Because SPREEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE :specialed:

____________________
#76
Liliana
"A horrible person". That's what it says. "A horrible person."

We weren't even testing for that.


Level: NaN


Posts: 447/-3841
EXP: NaN
For next: 0

Since: 07-23-07


Since last post: 10.3 years
Last activity: 10.1 years

Posted on 08-13-09 05:44:36 PM Link | Quote
Originally posted by Joe
This year.

Because SPREEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE :specialed:

Oh right, the obligatory Christmas spree. How could I forget about that?

____________________
Bob-omb8194
Still Explodin'
Level: 80


Posts: 406/1654
EXP: 4671049
For next: 111920

Since: 02-19-09

From: NC, US

Since last post: 10.8 years
Last activity: 10.8 years

Posted on 08-13-09 08:41:14 PM Link | Quote
It is possible to do in under a year. You would just have to put a bit of work in it.

And a spree or two could really help. Especially the Christmas spree.

____________________
Anya

Trudging Scribe



Post 10030/23359
Posted on 08-14-09 01:47:21 AM Link | Quote
Christmas and the New Year's spree.

____________________

twitstamp.com
Liliana
"A horrible person". That's what it says. "A horrible person."

We weren't even testing for that.


Level: NaN


Posts: 452/-3841
EXP: NaN
For next: 0

Since: 07-23-07


Since last post: 10.3 years
Last activity: 10.1 years

Posted on 08-14-09 04:19:34 PM Link | Quote
These need to be pretty big sprees though for 20,000 to happen this year.

Here goes my math again:

Today is August 14, 2009. There are 139 days left until the end of this year.
10000 divided by 139 is 71, thus an average of 71 posts per day would be needed to meet this goal.

Now, let's assume on both Christmas and New Year's Spree she does 600 posts each (rather optimistic, but whatever).
This changes our equation to: 8800/139 = 63, i. e. 63 posts per day are required.

Based on these calculations, I say that reaching post 20,000 this year is very unlikely. Not impossible, but highly unlikely.

____________________
Anya

Trudging Scribe



Post 10077/23359
Posted on 08-15-09 02:37:26 AM Link | Quote
There's no way I can do 70+ posts every day. Unless I have nothing, and I mean nothing, going on.

I did do 600+ on the New Years spree back on Acmlm's.

____________________

twitstamp.com
Sponty
Part boy, part car; Boycar, Protector and King of Chilladelphia
Level: 184


Posts: 5230/11098
EXP: 85651597
For next: 467813

Since: 08-24-07

Pronouns: he/him
From: Canada

Since last post: 7 days
Last activity: 6 days

Posted on 08-18-09 02:40:59 AM Link | Quote







Watch. You'll probably be the first to hit 20k. No doubt.

____________________
Jeez, not having the same layout is gonna take some getting used to...





Liliana
"A horrible person". That's what it says. "A horrible person."

We weren't even testing for that.


Level: NaN


Posts: 515/-3841
EXP: NaN
For next: 0

Since: 07-23-07


Since last post: 10.3 years
Last activity: 10.1 years

Posted on 08-18-09 02:19:22 PM Link | Quote
Originally posted by Jacob
Watch. You'll probably be the first to hit 20k. No doubt.

Well this one's pretty obvious, and I think everyone will agree with that. The exact date is what makes all this interesting.

____________________
Bloodstar
11360
Buy me a trip to the moon
So I can laugh at my mistakes


Post 4188/11363

Joined
07-06-07
Active
17 hours ago
Posted on 08-21-09 05:05:15 AM Link | Quote
Makes our 255 spree look weak. :|

I think the most I've ever managed was 330ish. Shocked the hell out of me...

____________________
GeneriLayout now for yet another limited time woo
Anya

Trudging Scribe



Post 15002/23359
Posted on 12-26-09 03:52:10 AM Link | Quote
I guess 20K won't be this year.


15001 (16.90 per day) -- Projected date for 20000 posts: 10-17-10 10:04:50 PM


But I doubt it will be in October.

____________________

Taryn

Passed away.

Thanks for being a part of us, even if it wasn't always on the best of terms.

1987-2014


Level: 204


Posts: 4576/14742
EXP: 121766114
For next: 1583704

Since: 09-01-09

From: Seattle

Since last post: 10.1 years
Last activity: 9.8 years

Posted on 12-26-09 03:55:46 AM Link | Quote
I would guess June for your 20k, Anya

Me, I'm still going for 5k, as the 2nd highest posting female (11th overall).

____________________
~Terra

TKB Super Mario Bros. - Complete
TKB Super Mario Bros. 3 - In progress; 21/113 maps
Danika
6230
Level: 141


Posts: 1126/6235
EXP: 33303721
For next: 816293

Since: 10-23-09


Since last post: 1.2 years
Last activity: 1.2 years

Posted on 12-26-09 02:17:17 PM Link | Quote
I'll have to say around June or July for you, Anya... but for my 2000th, it might be as soon as late January (in time for my birthday ) or like April 2011

____________________
Post # 1126
Day # 63
Level 36
EXP 301562
EXP to next 6548
YouTubeDeviantArt

"Stop degrading yourselves! We Enlightened Ones were once the same as you. The only difference is that we are under Lavos' control."
Anya

Trudging Scribe



Post 15217/23359
Posted on 01-02-10 12:04:20 AM Link | Quote

Projected date for 20000 posts: 10-10-10 04:33:10 AM


10/10/10 = end of the world and I'm gonna blow it up.

____________________

Post 995/1311 (42 days), online 3 days ago
Posted on 01-02-10 07:00:21 PM Link | Quote
Projected date for 20000 looking only at recent periods:

- Last week: 54.00 per day -> 03-28-10
- Last month: 30.97 per day -> 05-31-10
- Last 6 months: 38.10 per day -> 05-03-10

It'd be around May this year if this keeps up

____________________



#50 
ReiNi
さよなら*へヴン
Level: 124


Posts: 2396/4444
EXP: 21772293
For next: 64308

Since: 07-21-07


Since last post: 6.7 years
Last activity: 3.3 years

Posted on 01-03-10 02:31:06 AM Link | Quote
bleh

She has slowed down a little though. I mean, there was supposed to be a spree! Yet she didn't even get her syndrome.

It's not going to be earlier than May.

____________________

Taryn

Passed away.

Thanks for being a part of us, even if it wasn't always on the best of terms.

1987-2014


Level: 204


Posts: 4933/14742
EXP: 121766114
For next: 1583704

Since: 09-01-09

From: Seattle

Since last post: 10.1 years
Last activity: 9.8 years

Posted on 01-03-10 06:02:14 AM Link | Quote
Well, considering that AFAIK Anya Syndrome was reached only 5 times total...

____________________
~Terra

TKB Super Mario Bros. - Complete
TKB Super Mario Bros. 3 - In progress; 21/113 maps
Danika
6230
Level: 141


Posts: 1587/6235
EXP: 33303721
For next: 816293

Since: 10-23-09


Since last post: 1.2 years
Last activity: 1.2 years

Posted on 01-03-10 07:07:47 PM Link | Quote
Anya Syndrome happened in 2004, and (I think) 3 times in 2009

When was the fifth time?

____________________
Post # 1587
Day # 71
Level 43
EXP 536086
EXP to next 28960
YouTubeDeviantArt

"Stop degrading yourselves! We Enlightened Ones were once the same as you. The only difference is that we are under Lavos' control."
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Jul - Innocent Town - 20K Projection New poll - New thread - New reply


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